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Try entering 'e-learning high attrition rates' into an appropriate search
engine and you will not be short of hits that offer a variety of perceptions
on the effectiveness of e-learning - and many that claim the attrition
rate is as high as 80%. Can it be true that as many as eight out of ten
people who begin an e-learning course fail to complete it? The answer
is 'yes', and there is evidence that some kinds of e-learning are not
very successful; however, it depends on what is meant by 'e' and what
is meant by 'learning'. What follows is an attempt to explain the story
behind the headline. It is a story that covers the last ten years and
has all of the wonderful benefits of hindsight.
WHERE
DID E-LEARNING BEGIN?
Computer Aided Learning (CAL) and Computer Based Training (CBT) were developments
of Programmed Learning, a highly structured approach to teaching skills
that had its roots in the training programmes designed to address skill
shortages in the armed services in the Second World War. Because of this
pedigree both CAL and CBT, either software or CD ROM based, have been
highly successful at teaching skills that can be easily measured. They
provide individually paced repetition and feedback that helps to develop
an unselfconscious approach to doing things well in a particular context.
It is form of learning that is done to the learner and tends to rely on
extrinsic motivation in the form of short-term rewards. The fact that
it works well is rarely disputed and much of this style of learning has
been re-vamped for the web, and because of the new mode of delivery, is
now one sub-set of e-learning. It is however a limited sub-set and has
caused much confusion when conflated with a more learner focussed environment.
THE SHIFT
OF FOCUS FROM TEACHING TO LEARNING
Making the learner central to the teaching process has been long established
history - which includes being pilloried under the heading of 'progressive
education' by many pundits and politicians. What it implies is a respect
for the learner as an individual who has different needs and expectations
- and what it has taught us is that there are emotional barriers to learning
that must be addressed as part of the learning environment. For example,
the need to feel included in the learning process and empowered by the
ideas developed. It is a process that aims to facilitate intrinsic motivation
in which the learning itself is the main reward. One way of the key differences
is the extent to which learners are dependent on the tutor or the learning
materials - and there can be good reasons for both approaches.
A MAP
OF THE AREA
The matrix below is an attempt to map out the relative positions of some
of the claimants for e-learning status. It is not intended to suggest
a hierarchy but to suggest the territory that they best operate in - and
to explain why some might be misplaced.

WHERE IS E-LEARNING?
Fuelled by the dot com phenomenon e-learning has developed in quantity,
but not in terms of a coherent model of learning. As interest fades in
the money making potential of internet-anything companies, e-learning
is taking over as the hot topic for those whose business it is to advise
on how to improve the performance of investments. One prediction is that
the world-wide market for e-learning will double every year to reach $11.5
billion by 2003. The lure of such a huge market is attracting interest
from a wide spectrum of organisations that includes software companies,
large corporates and universities. It is perhaps not surprising that in
this rush to cash in on the market, little thought is being given to quality
of experience provided to the learner.
SO WHAT
IS GOING WRONG?
Many aid agencies working to improve the technology in poor countries
recognise that aid needs to be appropriate; to be sustainable it needs
to use local materials, draw on local skills and to be in tune with the
environment. In terms of e-learning much of the technology currently used
is unnecessarily specialised and tends to alienate rather than include
people. Some of the complex learning management systems could be seen
as the aid equivalent to the $50,000 tractor in Ethiopia. The cost of
failures in these over-complicated systems is high in terms of the negative
attitudes engendered in participants who are unable to access or operate
the system. Common sense (which is short supply in the e-world) would
suggest that good change management is the key to success. E-learning
does not magically attract people as some of the sales people involved
would have us believe. There needs to be an appropriate selection of technology
and learning modes - and a clear vision communicated (and even marketed)
to the participants about what it will achieve. Failure to do so produces
the results headlined in this article.
LEARNING
LANDSPACES
What kind of learning landscape might be appropriate for e-learning? Most
of us a familiar with the traditional landscape pictured below.

The lecturer/teacher/trainer
stands on the peak and passes the knowledge down. People who are further
up the hill find it easier to catch what is being passed down - but those
lower down find it more difficult, they catch the wrong things or simply
get buried. It is however a familiar learning environment for most people.
E-learning does provide
us with the opportunity to revisit what the landscape and ecology of a
learning environment could and should be. The landscape pictured below
is one possible scenario.

Here people learn in different
ways, such as individually and collaboratively in small groups - but always
on the move in the direction that best suits them. Within this landscape,
the 'hills' are much smaller and not dominated by experts. Because this
scenario requires people to take on personal responsibility for their
own learning, it can be a more daunting experience for those whose experience
of learning is limited to the expert on the mountain - and they need help
and support to make the change.
SO WHAT
DO YOU NEED TO KNOW TO BECOME AN LEARNING CONSULTANT?
Well, not much really. The following checklist will put you ahead of many
individuals and agencies currently offering their services.
- E-learning is a generic term that
covers a variety of forms of electronic mediated learning.
- The learning modes vary and need
to be selected on the basis of what is appropriate.
- Blended learning is the appropriate
mix of e-learning and face to face learning.
- E-learners are not born, they need
to be inducted and supported through what could be an uncomfortable
transitional stage.
- The technologies that underpin e-learning
need to be robust and work first time, every time.
- People who manage and support e-learners
also need training - and particularly if they are moderating online
collaborative learning.
- Begin with small-scale e-learning
project in order to find out what works in your target organisation.
- The main driver for e-learning is
enthusiasm; if it does not exist then it needs drumming up.
- Complex multi-media presentations
can prove a distraction to learners; what does work effectively is
relevant content allied with clear navigation and good typographical
design.
- There are currently 169 learning
management systems for sale in the UK - and none are necessary to
begin e-learning.
As a consultant offering
such advice, you should be able to lower considerably the e-learning attrition
rates in your client organisation. However the bigger challenge is to
use the new technologies to empower, engage, excite and inspire learners
- and it can be done - trust me, I'm a consultant!
REFERENCES
CBT http://www.clat.psu.edu/homes/bxb11/CBTGuide/CBTGuide.htm
CAL www.calm.hw.ac.uk
Programmed Learning http://www.dushkin.com/connectext/psy/ch06/prolearn.mhtml
Learner Centred http://www.fbe.unsw.edu.au/learning/instructionaldesign/strategies.htm
Appropriate technology http://www.attra.org/
Learning Management
Systems http://www.brandon-hall.com/learmansytvo.html
High attrition rates http://web.mit.edu/newsoffice/tt/2001/aug15/elearning.html
E-learning growth http://cyberatlas.internet.com/markets/education/article/0,,5951_737341,00.html
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